Research on the relation between postdoctoral system and the growth process of post-doctoral fellows based on GERT model

Author(s): Gao Hong*,Wang Jigan

This paper describes the dynamic growth process of post-doctoral fellows and establishes a kind of GERT network model based on the “life cycle”theory. It collects data from Nanjing as an example to give the specific solution and the analysis process. The results show that the value of the natural probability that an undergraduate student growning to be a postdoctoral fellow is just 1.9684%,while if the postdoctoral system will have been improved,the probability will increase to 2.7808%.

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