Abstract

Computer models against empirical evidence for Antarctic climate

Author(s): A.Parker, C.D.Ollier

The latest paper by Rye et al. (2014) suggesting rapid sea-level rise along the Antarctic margins follows the paper by Bromwich et al. (2013) claiming central west Antarctica is among the most rapidly warming regions on Earth and the paper by McMillan M. et al. (2014) claiming increased ice losses from Antarctica. In all the cases, the claims are based on cherry picking and poor quality results aimed to shift the scientific debate away from the overwhelming evidence that Antarctica is not warming at all, as recognised even by the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/). The papers by Bromwich et al. (2013) and McMillan et al. (2014) have been already discussed elsewhere[16, 17] and this work concentrates on reviewing the basis for the allegedly increasing rate of sea-level rise claimed by Rye et al. (2014), purportedly in response to an increased glacial discharge along the margins of Antarctica. It is shown that the present pattern for Antarctica is actually one of reducing temperatures and increasing ice with no reason whatever to propose sea level rise. The virtual reality of simplistic computer models once again fails to match the actual observational evidence.


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